Irena Kikerkova – Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics – Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia
Predrag Trpeski – Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics – Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia
Ljuben Kocev – Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics – Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia
Jasna Tonovska – Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics – Skopje, Republic of North Macedonia
Keywords:
Trade Facilitation;
Trade Logistics;
Gravity model;
Logistic Performance Index
(LPI);
TRACECA
Abstract: This study examines trade determinants, with a particular focus on logistics within the context of a regional integration initiative. A gap in the literature concerning the application of gravity models to the TRACECA initiative is identified through the literature review. Subsequently, an analysis of the legal framework underpinning TRACECA is undertaken. Utilizing the World Bank’s Logistic Performance Index (LPI) within a gravity model framework, the study evaluates the impact of trade facilitation within the TRACECA region. Findings indicate positive associations between trade and GDP, common language, and shared borders, while distance exerts a negative influence. The research underscores the role of the LPI in facilitating trade within TRACECA, advocating for collaborative endeavors to enhance logistics, remove latent barriers, and streamline customs procedures. Furthermore, the study advocates for increased investment to strengthen TRACECA’s trade facilitation initiatives, emphasizing the necessity of mutual political commitment to advance regional trade.

Download full paper

8th International Scientific Conference – EMAN 2024 – Economics and Management: How to Cope With Disrupted Times, Rome, Italy, March 21, 2024, SELECTED PAPERS, published by: Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia; ISBN 978-86-80194-84-4, ISSN 2683-4510, DOI: https://doi.org/10.31410/EMAN.S.P.2024
Creative Commons Non Commercial CC BY-NC: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission.
REFERENCES
Aboul-Dahab, K. M., & Ibrahim, M. A. (2020). Logistics Performance Index (LPI) and insights on the logistics performance improvement in the Arabian region. The International Journal of Business Management and Technology, 4(2).
Beverelli, C., Neumueller, S., & Teh, R. (2015). Export Diversification Effects of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement. World Development, 76, 293-310. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.07.009
Bugarčić, F. Ž., Skvarciany, V., & Stanišić, N. (2020). Logistics performance index in international trade: Case of Central and Eastern European and Western Balkans countries. Business: Theory and Practice, 21(2), 452-459. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2020.12802
Decreux, Y., & Fontagné, L. (2009). Economic Impact of Potential Outcome of the DDA. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2004831
De Souza, R., Goh, M., Gupta, S., & Lei, L. (2007). An Investigation into the Measures Affecting the Integration of ASEAN’s Priority Sectors: Phase 2: The Case of Logistics. REPSF Project No. 06/001d.
Fontagne, L., Orefice, G., & Piermartini, R. (2016). Making (Small) Firms Happy. The Heterogeneous Effect of Trade Facilitation Measures. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2795493
Hausman, W. H., Lee, H. L., & Subramanian, U. (2005). Global Logistics Indicators, Supply Chain Metrics, And Bilateral Trade Patterns. Policy Research Working Papers. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-3773
Hollweg, C., & Wong, M. (2009). Measuring Regulatory Restrictions in Logistics Services. ERIA Discussion Paper Series.
Korinek, J., & Sourdin, P. (2011). To what extent are high-quality logistics services trade facilitating? OECD Trade Policy Working Papers, 108.
Marti, L., Puertas, R., & García, L. (2014). Relevance of trade facilitation in emerging countries’ exports. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 23(2), 202- 222. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2012.698639
Mayer, T., & Zignago, S. (2011). Notes on CEPII’s Distances Measures: The GeoDist Database. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1994531
Min, H., & Kim, I. (2010). Measuring the Effectiveness of the Country’s Green Supply Chain from a Macro Perspective. In Proceedings of the First Annual State International Symposium on Green Supply Chains, Canton, Ohio July.
Moïsé, E., & Sorescu, S. (2013). Trade Facilitation Indicators: The Potential Impact of Trade Facilitation on Developing Countries’ Trade. OECD.
Mustra, M. A. (2011). Logistic Performance Index. Connecting to Compete 2010, UNESCAP Regional Forum and Chief Executives Meeting.
OECD. (2005). The Economic Impact of Trade Facilitation. OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 21. https://doi.org/10.1787/861403066656
Permanent Secretariat of the Intergovernmental Commission TRACECA. (2020). International Transport Corridor Europe-The Caucasus-Asia. Retrieved from www.traceca-org.org
Wilson, J. S., Mann, C. L., & Otsuki, T. (2003). Trade Facilitation and Economic Development: A New Approach to Quantifying the Impact. The World Bank Economic Review, 17(3), 367-389. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhg027
Wilson, J. S., Mann, C. L., & Otsuki, T. (2005). Assessing the Benefits of Trade Facilitation: A Global Perspective. The World Economy, 28(6), 841-871. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2005.00709.x
World Bank. (2023). Connecting to Compete 2023: Trade Logistics in an Uncertain Global Economy – The Logistics Performance Index and Its Indicators. https://doi.org/10.1596/39760
World Trade Organization. (2015). World Trade Report 2015. World Trade Report. https://doi.org/10.30875/1cee73f9-en
Zaki, C. (2010). Does Trade Facilitation Matter in Bilateral Trade? Economic Research Forum, Working Papers, 472.
Zaki, C. (2014). An empirical assessment of the trade facilitation initiative: econometric evidence and global economic effects. World Trade Review, 13(1), 103-130. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1474745613000256
